Warsaw NC Weather Tomorrow and Today 7.21.2022 and 7.20.2022, temp currently is Fair
More on current conditions
Heat Index83°F (28°C)
20 Jul 8:15 am EDT
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7 Day Warsaw NC Weather Tomorrow and Today 7.21.2022 and 7.20.2022
Sunny thenChanceT-stormsHigh: 92 °F
ChanceT-stormsLow: 75 °F
ChanceT-stormsHigh: 94 °F
ChanceT-stormsLow: 74 °F
ChanceT-stormsHigh: 92 °F
Slight ChanceT-stormsLow: 74 °F
Mostly SunnyHigh: 93 °F
Partly CloudyLow: 73 °F
Mostly SunnyHigh: 94 °F
We hope you like this weather data for Warsaw NC Weather Tomorrow and Today 7.21.2022 and 7.20.2022. Also for the rest of the week, too!
TodayA chance of showers and thunderstorms, mainly after 4pm. Mostly sunny, with a high near 92. Heat index values as high as 103. Southwest wind 7 to 13 mph, with gusts as high as 20 mph. Chance of precipitation is 30%. New rainfall amounts of less than a tenth of an inch, except higher amounts possible in thunderstorms. TonightA chance of showers and thunderstorms, mainly between 10pm and midnight. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 75. Southwest wind around 10 mph, with gusts as high as 17 mph. Chance of precipitation is 30%. New rainfall amounts between a tenth and quarter of an inch, except higher amounts possible in thunderstorms. ThursdayA slight chance of showers, then a chance of showers and thunderstorms after 11am. Mostly sunny, with a high near 94. Heat index values as high as 105. Southwest wind 11 to 14 mph, with gusts as high as 22 mph. Chance of precipitation is 40%. New rainfall amounts of less than a tenth of an inch, except higher amounts possible in thunderstorms. Thursday NightA chance of showers and thunderstorms. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 74. Southwest wind 7 to 10 mph. Chance of precipitation is 50%. New rainfall amounts between a tenth and quarter of an inch, except higher amounts possible in thunderstorms. FridayA chance of showers and thunderstorms. Partly sunny, with a high near 92. Southwest wind around 7 mph. Chance of precipitation is 50%. New rainfall amounts of less than a tenth of an inch, except higher amounts possible in thunderstorms. Friday NightA slight chance of showers and thunderstorms before 2am. Partly cloudy, with a low around 74. Chance of precipitation is 20%.SaturdayMostly sunny, with a high near 93.Saturday NightPartly cloudy, with a low around 73.SundayMostly sunny, with a high near 94.Sunday NightPartly cloudy, with a low around 75.MondayMostly sunny, with a high near 94.Monday NightPartly cloudy, with a low around 75.TuesdayA chance of showers and thunderstorms. Partly sunny, with a high near 93. Chance of precipitation is 30%.
Here’s a detailed discussion below that you might like for Warsaw NC Weather Tomorrow and Today 7.21.2022 and 7.20.2022.
Area Forecast Discussion Issued by NWS Newport/Morehead, NCHome | Current Version | Previous Version | Text Only | Print | Product List | Glossary OffVersions: 1
FXUS62 KMHX 201316
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Newport/Morehead City NC
916 AM EDT Wed Jul 20 2022
Typical summertime isolated to scattered thunderstorms will persist
again today as the area will be between inland troughing and
high pressure well offshore. A deteriorating cold front will
approaching the area later Thursday into Friday.
.NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 PM THIS EVENING/…
As of 915 AM Wed…Forecast remains on track this morning.
Prev disc…Similar to yesterday, weak upper level troughing
will remain overhead promoting large scale lift across the
region. And again, the extent of convective coverage is a bit of
an unknown, but the consensus amongst the CAMs is that
scattered showers and thunderstorms will initiate off the sea
breeze/sound breezes early this afternoon, and then focus across
the southern half of the area, closer to the best shortwave
energy, through early this evening. Little in the way of deep
layer wind shear should preclude anything more than an isolated
threat of some stronger wind gusts or minor flooding from heavy
Hot and humid conditions are expected again, as highs reach the
low 90s inland, and the upper 80s to around 90 along the coast.
With mid to upper 70 dewpoints still in place, heat indices will
reach 100-105 degrees for a few hours this afternoon.
.SHORT TERM /6 PM THIS EVENING THROUGH 6 AM THURSDAY/…
As of 700 AM Wed…Weak upper level troughing over the southern
half of the area will support widely scattered convective
activity overnight, which could become a bit more expansive as
it moves into a more unstable air mass near Inner and Outer
Banks. Temperatures remain mild again, with lows mostly in the
mid to upper 70s.
.LONG TERM /THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY/…
As of 330 AM Wednesday…Brief lull in weather to start
Thursday. An approaching weak cold front brings another uptick
in storm potential later Thursday night into Friday, with high
pressure regaining control over the weekend.
End of the Week…Deteriorating cold front approaches the FA
from the NW with strengthening SW winds at the SFC out ahead of
the front. More typical summertime weather in the morning with
chance of offshore showers/iso t storms bleeding over the coast.
Increasing low level thicknesses in the strengthening WAA lead
to slightly warmer highs in the low to mid 90s. When combined
with dewpoints in the mid to upper 70s, could reach Heat
Advisory criteria Thu aftn. As the front nears the FA in the
late afternoon/evening, low level moisture advection and
convergence increases, allowing pre frontal convection to become
slightly more organized with better covg of showers/storms. A
bit of model divergence here with some global guidance being
more aggressive with the mid- level shortwave reinvigorating the
cold front, producing more widespread storms as a result. Have
added LKLY PoPs along the coast between Beaufort Inlet and
~Oregon Inlet Fri morning where the broken line of convection
becomes reinvigorated as it reaches the coast toward sunrise
Friday. With ample instability and modest shear providing a
chance for some organization of multiple storms and PWats AoA
2inches, SPC has the area outlooked in a Marginal Risk of
severe weather, and WPC has outlooked the region as a Marginal
Risk for Excessive Rainfall for the FA Thursday night with the
greatest threat being damaging wind gusts associated with the
strongest cells and periods of heavy rainfall. The front is
forecast to remain north of the region leaving the FA in a moist
and unsettled pattern for Friday.
Weekend…Better upper level ridging from the central US builds
into the region for the weekend, providing more settled
weather, but also hot and sultry conditions. Afternoon High
temps well into the 90s lows well into the 70s. This period
will need to be monitored for potential Heat Advisory issuance,
but for now, have peak heat indices in the 100-105deg range.
As PWat values fall back to more average values the precip
pattern becomes more typical for summertime ridging patterns
Saturday, offshore nocturnal showers/tstorms and afternoon
activity prompted by sea and sound breezes. Sunday will be the
driest day of the weekend.
Early Next Week…High pressure remains the focus with the
Bermuda High expanding Wward over SECONUS and an expansive mid
level ridge building over Sern CONUS. Hot afternoons persist
through the start of the week with heat indices 100-105deg.
Isolated to scattered tstorms in the afternoon with limited
severe potential with poor mid and upper level support.
.AVIATION /13Z WEDNESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY/…
SHORT TERM /through Thursday Morning/…
As of 700 AM Wed…Isolated areas of stratus have brought
conditions down to IFR at a few sites including KOAJ. This
stratus deck will quickly dissipate over the next hour or so
and VFR conditions will then continue through the period.
However, brief periods of sub-VFR conditions will be possible
in any thunderstorms which will again develop this afternoon and
evening. Gusty SW winds will also continue and strengthen this
afternoon through tonight.
LONG TERM /Thursday through the Weekend/…
As of 400 AM Wednesday…A cold front pushes through late Thu
into Fri, bringing back an unsettled weather pattern with flight
restrictions due to storms likely to end the week. Muggy
conditions all week will result in possibility of patchy early
morning fog for locations that remain clear and calm on any
given night. Over the weekend, more typical summertime pattern
of afternoon convection.
SHORT TERM /through Tonight/…
As of 700 AM Wed…After a brief window of somewhat decent
boating conditions this morning, winds will again strengthen out
of the SW through tonight and into tomorrow. Have issued a SCA
for all the coastal waters and the Pamlico Sound, beginning this
afternoon for all those zones except the waters north of Oregon
Inlet which does not begin until early tomorrow morning.
Winds this morning will be SW 15-20 kts with seas 3-5 ft. Then
this afternoon winds will increase to 20-25 kts, with gusts
possible to 30 kts. Strong SW flow then continues tonight and
potentially increases slightly by early tomorrow morning. Seas
will come up to 4-6 ft by late this afternoon, and then build
slightly higher overnight to 5-7 ft.
LONG TERM /Wednesday night through Friday/…
As of 415 AM Wednesday…General pattern with inland troughing
and an offshore Bermuda high persists through much of the week.
SCA criteria persists through Friday morning. Winds peak Late
Thurs with sustained 25kt SWerly winds and gusts around 30kt,
allowing seas to continue to build to 5-7ft with 8ft possible
offshore S of Cape Hatteras. SWerly winds begin to subside Fri
but won`t fall below 20kt until late Fri with seas remaining
4-6ft through Friday morning. Better boating conditions return
over the weekend.
MARINE…Small Craft Advisory from 2 PM this afternoon to 6 AM EDT
Friday for AMZ135.
Small Craft Advisory from 2 PM this afternoon to noon EDT
Friday for AMZ154-156-158.
Small Craft Advisory from 7 AM Thursday to 6 AM EDT Friday for
Small Craft Advisory from 4 PM this afternoon to 8 AM EDT
Friday for AMZ152.
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