Providence RI Weather Tomorrow and Today

Providence RI Weather Tomorrow and Today 7.21.2022 and 7.20.2022, temp currently is Mostly Cloudy
85°F
29°C

More on current conditions

Mostly Cloudy
85°F
29°C

Humidity
61%

Wind Speed
Vrbl 5 mph

Barometer
29.76 in (1007.6 mb)

Dewpoint
70°F (21°C)

Visibility
10.00 mi

Heat Index90°F (32°C)
Last update

20 Jul 8:51 am EDT

More Information:Local Forecast OfficeMore Local Wx3 Day HistoryMobile WeatherHourly Weather Forecast

7 Day Providence RI Weather Tomorrow and Today

Heat Advisory July 20, 11:00am until July 21, 08:00pmClick here for hazard details and duration
Heat Advisory

Today
Mostly SunnyHigh: 95 °F

Tonight
Partly CloudyLow: 74 °F

Thursday
Mostly SunnyHigh: 91 °F

ThursdayNight
Slight ChanceT-storms thenMostly ClearLow: 72 °F

Friday
SunnyHigh: 93 °F

FridayNight
Mostly ClearLow: 71 °F

Saturday
SunnyHigh: 95 °F

SaturdayNight
Mostly ClearLow: 73 °F

Sunday
Mostly SunnyHigh: 93 °F

We hope you like this weather data for Providence RI Weather Tomorrow and Today 7.21.2022 and 7.20.2022. Also for the rest of the week, too!

Detailed Forecast

TodayMostly sunny, with a high near 95. West wind 5 to 9 mph. TonightPartly cloudy, with a low around 74. Southwest wind around 6 mph. ThursdayMostly sunny, with a high near 91. South wind 7 to 14 mph. Thursday NightA slight chance of showers and thunderstorms between 9pm and 11pm. Partly cloudy, with a low around 72. South wind 5 to 10 mph becoming light and variable after midnight. Winds could gust as high as 22 mph. Chance of precipitation is 20%.FridaySunny, with a high near 93. West wind 5 to 10 mph. Friday NightMostly clear, with a low around 71. West wind 5 to 7 mph becoming calm after midnight. SaturdaySunny, with a high near 95. Light west wind becoming southwest 5 to 10 mph in the afternoon. Saturday NightMostly clear, with a low around 73. Southwest wind 6 to 9 mph. SundayMostly sunny, with a high near 93. Southwest wind 7 to 14 mph, with gusts as high as 24 mph. Sunday NightA chance of showers. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 72. Southwest wind 7 to 11 mph, with gusts as high as 23 mph. Chance of precipitation is 40%.MondayA chance of showers. Partly sunny, with a high near 88. Southwest wind 7 to 11 mph, with gusts as high as 22 mph. Chance of precipitation is 30%.Monday NightA chance of showers. Partly cloudy, with a low around 67. West wind 3 to 7 mph. Chance of precipitation is 30%.TuesdayMostly sunny, with a high near 87. Northwest wind 5 to 8 mph.

Here’s a detailed discussion below that you might like for Providence RI Weather Tomorrow and Today 7.21.2022 and 7.20.2022.

Area Forecast Discussion Issued by NWS Boston, MAHome | Current Version | Previous Version | Text Only | Print | Product List | Glossary OffVersions: 1
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FXUS61 KBOX 201104
AFDBOX

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Boston/Norton MA
704 AM EDT Wed Jul 20 2022

.SYNOPSIS…
Heat and humidity will persist through the upcoming weekend and
possibly lingering into Monday before more seasonable and less humid
conditions arrive by next Tuesday. A cold front will bring scattered
showers and thunderstorms Thursday, especially in the interior,
otherwise mainly dry weather into next weekend. Another cold front
may bring another round of showers and storms sometime late Sunday
into Monday.

&&

.NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 PM THIS EVENING/…

7 AM UPDATE…

Area of showers and isolated t-storms moving SE from eastern
NY overnight has pretty much dissipated as it moved eastward
across southern New England.

Heat will continue in full force today as additional warming occurs
in the low levels. 850 mb warms to around 20C and 925 mb temps 26-
27C which is 1-2C warmer than Tue. This will support highs in the
mid 90s across much of SNE with potential for some upper 90s in the
CT Valley and interior NE MA. Light west winds will turn SW along
the south coast and sea breezes will likely develop along the east
coast as well which should hold temps closer to 90 along the
immediate coastline. Dewpoints will be mostly in the mid 60s during
the peak of the heat, except around 70 near the south coast. Heat
Advisories remain in effect for heat indices 95-100F.

Some of the CAMs suggesting the potential for convection developing
across eastern MA this afternoon, likely a result of weak low level
convergence along sea breeze boundaries. Instability is marginal
with CAPES 500-1000 J/kg and mid level lapse rates are poor with
capping in place so any activity expected to be isolated but we did
continue low PoPs across eastern MA.

&&

.SHORT TERM /6 PM THIS EVENING THROUGH 6 PM THURSDAY/…
Tonight…

A warm and humid night expected with dry weather. Persistent SW flow
may lead to development of patchy stratus and fog over the
Cape/Islands late tonight where HREF indicating increasing probs of
stratus. Lows mostly in the low/mid 70s, except upper 60s over the
interior high terrain.

Thursday…

We extended the heat advisory into Thu. While 925/850 mb temps are
similar to today, a bit more cloud cover and a strengthening S/SW
wind will likely result in somewhat cooler temps, especially across
RI and SE MA to the south coast. Highs should still reach the
low/mid 90s in the interior valleys but mid/upper 80s along the
south coast to near 90 for PVD-TAN-PYM corridor. The increasing SW
flow will bring in higher PWAT airmass which will lead to widespread
dewpoints into the low 70s with some mid 70s possible. The result
will be heat indices up to 100F again.

Convection will be more of a concern Thu afternoon as mid level
trough moves east from the Gt Lakes. Environment will become
moderately unstable with MLCAPES 1000-1500 J/kg and increasing mid
level winds ahead of the trough will contribute to deep layer shear
30-35 kt. This instability/shear parameter space will be supportive
of organized storms capable of severe weather as height falls
contribute to increasing forcing for ascent. CAMs indicating
potential for broken line segments with the main focus across CT
into interior MA where updraft helicity swaths are focused. Damaging
wind appears to be the primary threat given steep low level lapse
rates but hail will be possible as well. Mainly dry conditions will
likely persist through the day across RI and SE MA.

&&

.LONG TERM /THURSDAY NIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY/…
Highlights…

* Remaining toasty but mainly dry with highs in the 90s through this
weekend for many locations away from the coast but humidity would
be somewhat more tolerable compared to earlier in the week.
* There is a low probability that we could see temperatures approach
100F with heat indices 105+ this weekend.
* A cool down by early next week, which could be preceded by a round
of showers and thunderstorms.

Details…

After an extended stretch of almost early fall-like weather, summer
has returned with a vengeance, and appears here to stay at least
through the end of July. CPC 6-10 and 8-14 day temperature outlook
shows high confidence in above normal temps in climatologically the
warmest part of the year. For reference, normal highs for mid to
late July are generally in the low to mid 80s. Expect multiple days
in the 90s away from the coast, and with that our first heat wave of
the season, defined as three consecutive days of 90+ highs. Ensemble
guidance shows 850mb temps 5 to 7C above normal, and with Bufkit
soundings showing deep mixing up to 800mb on southwest flow, daytime
highs will likely reach low to mid 90s for many locations on
multiple occasions through this weekend. Interestingly enough, while
NAEFS situational ensemble guidance shows temperature fields at
various levels between 90th percentile to maximum of climatology,
the height fields are actually near normal, i.e. 580s Dm instead of
590s Dm. This goes to show just how hot the central part of CONUS
have been. Eventually, we just cannot avoid the heat even with a
mean H5 trough in place.

While persistent southwest flow will ensure elevated dew points
overall, the deep mixing might actually help to mix down lower dew
points from the top of the boundary layer. Having said that, with
deep SW flow, dew points will still likely get into the upper 60s
and low 70s, but unlikely mid 70s. This yields heat indices or
apparent temperatures mainly in the 95-100F range, perhaps as high
as 102F. Heat Advisories will likely be extended for a good portion
of the area. In addition, with a building H5 ridge axis, there will
be little nighttime relief, ensuring rather elevated dew points and
overnight lows to struggle to dip much below 70, if at all.

It`s worth noting that both the 00z GFS and ECMWF are hinting at
potentially widespread mid to upper 90s daytime highs this weekend
as the H5 ridge builds in stronger over our area. What is concerning
is that there is some ensemble guidance support, with all the
ensemble members showing above 90 deg for highs and even several
members showing above 100 deg for highs. Sunday would look to be the
hotter day of the two with a deep southwest flow. With 850mb temps
around +20C and 925mb temps +25 to +28C, it`s not out of the
question that some locations could reach 100F. Deep southwest flow
would also imply that despite deep mixing up to 850mb, dew points
would be rather elevated so we could potentially be talking about
heat indices in the 105 to 110 range. In other words, we could be
looking at the issuance of an Excessive Heat Watch once we get more
confidence. For now, have utilized NBM but don`t be surprised to see
the weekend temperature forecast adjusted upwards in the coming
days.

It looks like we finally cool off by early next week thanks to a
stronger push of cooler/drier air. That would likely be preceded by
a round of showers and thunderstorms, but it is too premature to
speculate on the timing or severity of those storms. With some areas
possibly reaching 90s on Monday, some folks could have experienced a
7 day heat wave (90+ highs) when the heat finally breaks.

&&

.AVIATION /11Z WEDNESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY/…
Forecaster Confidence Levels:

Low – less than 30 percent.
Medium – 30 to 60 percent.
High – greater than 60 percent.

11Z Update…

Today…High confidence.

VFR, although an isolated brief shower or t-storm could develop
around the eastern MA sea breeze this afternoon. Confidence too
low to include in the TAF.

Tonight…High confidence.

VFR. Some MVFR/IFR cigs and patchy fog may develop over
Cape/Islands toward daybreak.

Thursday…Moderate confidence.

Patchy MVFR cigs possible early over the Cape/Islands, otherwise
mainly VFR. Scattered t-storms likely developing and moving into
the interior during the afternoon which may be accompanied by
brief lower cigs/vsbys and strong wind gusts. S/SW wind gusts
around 20 kt developing.

KBOS…High confidence in TAF. Sea breeze expected to develop
16-18z.

KBDL…High confidence in TAF.

Outlook /Thursday Night through Sunday/…

Thursday Night: Mainly VFR, with local MVFR possible. Breezy.
Slight chance SHRA.

Friday: Mainly VFR, with local MVFR possible. Breezy.

Friday Night through Saturday Night: VFR. Breezy.

Sunday: Mainly VFR, with areas MVFR possible. Breezy. Chance
SHRA.

&&

.MARINE…
Forecaster Confidence Levels:

Low – less than 30 percent.
Medium – 30 to 60 percent.
High – greater than 60 percent.

Seas will subside below 5 ft this morning, otherwise expect SW winds
below 20 kt through tonight with seas below SCA thresholds.
Increasing S/SW flow Thu with gusts 20-25 kt developing and seas
building to 5+ ft over southern waters where SCA will likely be
needed. Vsbys may be reduced in patchy fog late tonight and Thu
morning over the south coastal waters.

Outlook /Thursday Night through Sunday/…

Thursday Night: Low risk for Small Craft Advisory winds with
gusts up to 25 kt. Areas of rough seas. Slight chance of rain
showers, isolated thunderstorms.

Friday: Winds less than 25 kt. Local rough seas.

Friday Night through Saturday Night: Winds less than 25 kt.
Areas of seas approaching 5 ft.

Sunday: Low risk for Small Craft Advisory winds with gusts up
to 25 kt. Seas up to 5 ft. Slight chance of rain showers.

&&

.BOX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES…
CT…Heat Advisory from 11 AM this morning to 8 PM EDT Thursday for
CTZ002>004.
MA…Heat Advisory from 11 AM this morning to 8 PM EDT Thursday for
MAZ003-005-006-010>021-026.
Air Quality Alert from 11 AM this morning to 11 PM EDT this
evening for MAZ007-020-022>024.
High Rip Current Risk through this evening for MAZ023-024.
RI…Heat Advisory from 11 AM this morning to 8 PM EDT Thursday for
RIZ001>006.
Air Quality Alert from 11 AM this morning to 11 PM EDT this
evening for RIZ006>008.
MARINE…None.

&&

$$
SYNOPSIS…KJC/Chai
NEAR TERM…KJC/Chai
SHORT TERM…KJC
LONG TERM…Chai
AVIATION…KJC/Chai
MARINE…KJC/Chai

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