Morven NC Weather Tomorrow and Today 7.21.2022 and 7.20.2022, temp currently is Fair
75°F
24°C
More on current conditions
Fair
75°F
24°C
Humidity
85%
Wind Speed
SW 3 mph
Barometer
29.95 in
Dewpoint
70°F (21°C)
Visibility
10.00 mi
Last update
20 Jul 8:35 am EDT
More Information:Local Forecast OfficeMore Local Wx3 Day HistoryMobile WeatherHourly Weather Forecast
7 Day Morven NC Weather Tomorrow and Today 7.21.2022 and 7.20.2022
Today
Sunny thenChanceT-stormsHigh: 91 °F
Tonight
Slight ChanceT-storms thenPartly CloudyLow: 74 °F
Thursday
ChanceT-storms thenT-stormsLikelyHigh: 94 °F
ThursdayNight
T-stormsLikelyLow: 73 °F
Friday
ChanceT-stormsHigh: 93 °F
FridayNight
ChanceT-storms thenPartly CloudyLow: 74 °F
Saturday
Mostly SunnyHigh: 96 °F
SaturdayNight
Partly CloudyLow: 73 °F
Sunday
Mostly SunnyHigh: 96 °F
We hope you like this weather data for Morven NC Weather Tomorrow and Today 7.21.2022 and 7.20.2022. Also for the rest of the week, too!
Detailed Forecast
TodayA chance of showers and thunderstorms, mainly after 5pm. Mostly sunny, with a high near 91. Southwest wind 6 to 9 mph. Chance of precipitation is 30%. New rainfall amounts of less than a tenth of an inch, except higher amounts possible in thunderstorms. TonightA slight chance of showers and thunderstorms before 11pm. Partly cloudy, with a low around 74. Southwest wind around 7 mph. Chance of precipitation is 20%.ThursdayA slight chance of showers, then showers and thunderstorms likely after 11am. Mostly sunny, with a high near 94. Heat index values as high as 102. Southwest wind 7 to 11 mph, with gusts as high as 18 mph. Chance of precipitation is 60%. New rainfall amounts between a tenth and quarter of an inch, except higher amounts possible in thunderstorms. Thursday NightShowers and thunderstorms likely, mainly before 8pm. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 73. Southwest wind 5 to 7 mph becoming calm in the evening. Chance of precipitation is 60%. New rainfall amounts between a half and three quarters of an inch possible. FridayA chance of showers and thunderstorms, mainly after 2pm. Mostly sunny, with a high near 93. Calm wind becoming southwest around 5 mph in the afternoon. Chance of precipitation is 30%. New rainfall amounts of less than a tenth of an inch, except higher amounts possible in thunderstorms. Friday NightA chance of showers and thunderstorms before 8pm. Partly cloudy, with a low around 74. Chance of precipitation is 30%. New precipitation amounts of less than a tenth of an inch, except higher amounts possible in thunderstorms. SaturdayMostly sunny, with a high near 96.Saturday NightPartly cloudy, with a low around 73.SundayMostly sunny, with a high near 96.Sunday NightPartly cloudy, with a low around 75.MondayA chance of showers and thunderstorms. Mostly sunny, with a high near 96. Chance of precipitation is 30%.Monday NightA chance of showers and thunderstorms. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 74. Chance of precipitation is 30%.TuesdayA chance of showers and thunderstorms. Partly sunny, with a high near 95. Chance of precipitation is 40%.
Here’s a detailed discussion below that you might like for Morven NC Weather Tomorrow and Today 7.21.2022 and 7.20.2022.
Area Forecast Discussion Issued by NWS Raleigh/Durham, NCHome | Current Version | Previous Version | Text Only | Print | Product List | Glossary OffVersions: 1
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000
FXUS62 KRAH 201021
AFDRAH
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
National Weather Service Raleigh NC
620 AM EDT Wed Jul 20 2022
.SYNOPSIS…
A cold front will approach central North Carolina Thursday, stalling
out Thursday night into Friday as it dissipates. High pressure then
builds in across the southeastern United States for the weekend.
&&
.NEAR TERM /TODAY THROUGH TONIGHT/…
As of 315 am Wednesday…
An upper level shortwave currently over western North Carolina
helped to trigger some isolated thunderstorms locally last evening,
but as of early morning, central NC remains dry with some showers
along the TN/NC border and farther southwest across SC and GA.
Synoptic and high-resolution models have been fairly consistent in
showing minimal coverage of showers and thunderstorms this
afternoon. Have kept a dry forecast through the morning and slightly
expanded the coverage of chance thunderstorms across southern
counties, but it still appears that most of the Triad, Triangle, and
points north should be dry today. A thunderstorm could persist
briefly after dark south of NC 24, but otherwise the rest of the
night should be dry. Rain from the approaching cold front should
hold off through the nighttime hours. With little change in airmass,
a persistence forecast should work fairly well for high
temperatures, with values mostly in the lower 90s and heat indices
approaching 100 degrees. However, southerly wind overnight will keep
overnight lows warmer than this morning – many places will only fall
into the low to mid 70s.
&&
.SHORT TERM /THURSDAY THROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT/…
As of 315 AM Wednesday…
Thursday will be an active weather day. Low pressure near Hudson Bay
will have a cold front trailing back to the southwest through the
Ohio Valley into Texas Thursday morning. The actual front should
remain just to the northwest at sunset. Southwesterly flow ahead of
the front will manage to bring even more humid air into the region,
with dewpoints reaching the mid 70s Thursday afternoon. Before any
thunderstorms have a chance to move into the region, another day
with highs in the mid 90s combined with the more humid air should
result in widespread triple digit head indices, and it appears that
the Triangle and Fayetteville metro areas could reach heat advisory
criteria of 105.
The chance for showers and thunderstorms should steadily increase
through the day. Locations east of I-95 should remain dry into the
early afternoon, but eventually thunderstorms are expected, most
numerous during the late afternoon west of I-95. With the timing of
the front, it still appears that there could be considerable
coverage of showers and thunderstorms continuing into Thursday
evening after sunset, with plenty of instability still available for
the atmosphere to work with. Coverage should diminish a bit more
after midnight. Wind shear values look marginal, with effective bulk
shear not much more than 30 kt, but depending on the model, CAPE
values could run anywhere between 1500 and 3000 J/kg, providing
plenty of energy for severe storms. The inverted V soundings favor
straight line wind damage as the primary threat.
&&
.LONG TERM /FRIDAY THROUGH TUESDAY/…
As of 255 AM Tuesday…
Shower/storm chances will be rather low Fri-Sun before increasing
for Mon/Tue. The big story will be the heat, with successive days of
above normal temps, including the possibility of a few 100F highs
and lows barely getting below 80F in some locations.
Fri through Sun: Broad mid level troughing over E Canada, Great
Lakes, and Northeast states Fri will continue to lift NE and dampen
as expansive mid level ridging builds across the southern CONUS
through the weekend. We`ll hold firmly in the warm sector, with
light SSW to SW surface flow, beneath warm/dry/stable mid levels,
minimizing both cloudiness and convective potential and allowing for
good insolation. This heating will come with deep mixing and a
lowering of dewpoints in the late afternoon, which, along with the
mid level warmth, will greatly reduce afternoon CAPE. PW is expected
to drop to under 2″ over all but our extreme SE Fri within WNW low-
mid level flow, and PW will remain low areawide through at least Sun
(there are indications that the sea breeze may propel well inland
late Sun through Sun evening — enhanced by deepening onshore-
directed flow aloft associated with a mid-upper wave moving westward
through the Bahamas — allowing isolated showers/storms to work into
the Piedmont). Outside of a small afternoon pop in our far SE Fri,
expect mostly dry weather Fri through much of Sun, with just a few
isolated showers late Sun as PW recovers just a bit in inland areas.
Temps over most of central NC will peak well into the 90s to near
100F each day, with thicknesses around 10 m above normal Fri rising
to around 20 m above normal by Sun, which should be the hottest day
of this stretch. While dewpoints will dip in the late afternoon with
mixing as we approach the hours of the hottest temps each day, we`re
still likely to see at least a few hours of dangerous heat index
values over 100F. And given the strong sunshine and lack of a breeze
in most places, forecast wet bulb globe temps will also raise
concern for heat illnesses, reaching values of 85 to around 90. The
latest NBM has a 10-25% chance of a high over 100F across the
northern half of the forecast area on Sun (coincident with the
highest forecast thicknesses noted on traditional model output), and
is followed Sun night by a low but non-zero risk of overnight lows
above 80F, a condition particularly indicative of high heat danger,
esp for those without A/C who won`t be able to cool off at night.
Mon-Tue: Moisture will begin to recover back to more summer-like
values through the column Mon, as the aforementioned westward-moving
wave over the Bahamas pushes onshore in tandem with a deep mid level
low crossing S Quebec and troughing over the St Lawrence/Northeast,
resulting in a period of height weakness aloft over NC. Upper
jetting over the Great Lakes and Northeast states will induce bouts
of enhanced upper divergence along a W-E surface front that will
hold just to our N Mon-Tue, extending roughly over the Ohio Valley E
across WV/N VA/Delmarva. Not only will some of this convection just
to our N and NW have the potential to drift into NC, it may spawn
outflows that could penetrate well southward and provide a
convective focus over much of NC, as PW climbs back to aoa 2″, esp
across our N half. Will bring back pops Mon and Tue, focused in the
afternoons and evenings, higher N than S. Forecast thicknesses drop
a bit due to greater cloud cover, but they`ll remain 5-10 m above
normal. This should mean slightly lower daytime maxes but continued
anomalously-warm lows, ultimately not a whole lot of relief from
this hot spell. -GIH
&&
.AVIATION /10Z WEDNESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY/…
As of 620 AM Wednesday…
TAF period: While an isolated shower/storm is in the forecast for
RWI, confidence was not high enough to include a mention in the TAF.
Confidence is barely high enough in coverage to keep the mention at
FAY, with INT/GSO/RDU all expected to be dry during the day. In
advance of an approaching cold front, locations such as RDU/FAY/RWI
that will have higher winds this afternoon should not see a drop off
in wind after sunset.
Outlook: Many sites should have showers/thunderstorms on Thursday
with restrictions. RDU/FAY/RWI will all have a chance of
thunderstorms Friday, then just a slight chance at FAY on Saturday
and a slight chance at all sites Sunday. Restrictions will be
possible around dawn each morning, but the most likely occurrence
will be Friday morning after the most widespread rain during the
forecast period occurs Thursday and Thursday night.
&&
.RAH WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES…
None.
&&
$$
SYNOPSIS…Green
NEAR TERM…Green
SHORT TERM…Green
LONG TERM…Hartfield
AVIATION…Green
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